STATEMENT
on
H.R. 21, the Homeowners Insurance Availability Act of 1999
before the
House Banking and Financial Services Committee
presented by
Franklin W. Nutter
President, Reinsurance Association of America
July 30, 1999
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - REINSURANCE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA
The Reinsurance Association of America (RAA) believes that H.R. 21 is a sound foundation for addressing a federal role in financing natural catastrophe losses. The creation of a federal reinsurance program is of great importance to our member companies. We firmly believe that federal involvement is a necessary component of any ultimate solution.
However, the RAA would like the Committee to readdress the level at which the federal Treasury assumes the cost and risk of a natural disaster. We urge the Committee to fully consider the capacity of both the primary and reinsurance marketplace to bear catastrophic risk. We propose that higher attachment levels (Atriggers@) for the government=s role be incorporated to better reflect the private sector=s risk bearing capacity. The RAA believes that such a change will help ensure that the private marketplace is not unnecessarily infringed upon and that the federal Treasury is not at risk by assuming too much of the cost of financing these disasters.
CAPACITY IS ABUNDANT IN THE REINSURANCE MARKETPLACE:
COST OF REINSURANCE: It has been suggested that reinsurance prices are too high and that is why insurance companies are unwilling to expand coverage in risk-prone areas. The cost of catastrophe reinsurance is very low and has in fact dropped for five years in a row.
PRIMARY INSURANCE MARKETPLACE: The primary industry is also well-prepared to handle the cost of a natural disaster. The Committee must consider the capacity of the primary insurers (not just reinsurers) for they are responsible for absorbing some of the cost of a natural disaster. Historically, the primary insurers have paid 2/3 to 3/4 of catastrophic claims, passing the remainder through to reinsurers. Here are some facts about the primary marketplace:
CAPITAL MARKETS: Capital markets have developed and implemented products to securitize insured catastrophe risk and provide additional capacity to insurers ($2.5 billion in 1998). The potential capacity should not be ignored or underestimated during the Committee=s consideration of H.R. 21.
STATE SOLUTIONS TO THE CATASTROPHE EXPOSURE: The RAA believes that the state insurance departments play an important role in the issue of homeowners availability in disaster-prone areas. State insurance departments have been working with insurers to allow changes in policy coverages and premiums that bring premiums in line with the risk of catastrophes in their markets and give consumers options in line with their resources.
MITIGATION: The RAA believes that both the federal government and the state insurance department should encourage mitigation in disaster prone areas. Such mitigation will assist in mitigating the effects of a mega-catastrophe.
Notwithstanding these positive developments, a fundamental problem facing insurers and their policyholders remains: the threat of a mega-catastrophe that exceeds the resources of the insurance and reinsurance markets. The RAA believes that federal involvement is a critical component of any solution to this very important issue. The RAA urges the Committee to thoroughly evaluate the capacity of the primary, reinsurance marketplace and capital markets. We believe doing so will result in your support for higher trigger levels which will minimize the risk assumed by the federal Treasury and maximize the resources of the private insurance industry.
The RAA looks forward to working with the Committee as it considers H.R. 21.
***
Chairman Leach and Members of the Banking Committee, it is an honor to appear before you on behalf of the Reinsurance Association of America. We commend you, Mr. Leach as well as Messrs. McCollom and Lazio, in particular, for your leadership in promoting legislation to address the issue of natural catastrophe exposure and insurance.
The Reinsurance Association of America (RAA) represents U.S. domestic property casualty reinsurers.1 The creation of a federal reinsurance program is of great importance to our member companies. Over the years, the RAA has supported efforts to create a federal role to address the issue of natural disaster catastrophe exposure in the United States. Our members firmly believe that federal involvement is a necessary component of any ultimate solution to this very important issue.
H.R. 21 is a sound foundation for addressing a federal role in financing natural catastrophe losses. However, the RAA would like the Committee to readdress the level at which the federal Treasury assumes the cost and risk of a natural disaster. We urge the Committee to fully consider the capacity of both the primary and reinsurance marketplace to bear catastrophic risk. We propose that higher attachment levels (Atriggers@) for the government role be incorporated to better reflect the private sector=s risk bearing capacity. The RAA believes that such a change will help ensure that the private marketplace is not unnecessarily infringed upon and that the federal Treasury is not at risk by assuming too much of the cost of financing these disasters.
RAA PRINCIPLES OF NATURAL DISASTER POLICY
The reinsurance industry has maintained a consistent position on the need for a federal backstop when the costs of a natural disaster exceed the private market capacity. Such a federal role is crucial to protect the solvency of the insurance marketplace and maintain insurance markets for consumers. Providing catastrophe insurance and reinsurance coverage should otherwise be preserved for private sector carriers. State government catastrophe funds2 should only be employed as a last resort.
That position is rooted in the following principles, which we urge the Committee to adopt as its own:
(1) natural catastrophe exposures, hurricanes and earthquakes, are insurable risks in the private sector;
(2) government=s role should only be to address insurer solvency in the event of a mega-catastrophe, hereby fostering private sector coverage and preserving the claims paying ability of insurers;
(3) the risk of natural catastrophes is best insured in a diversified marketplace which avoids concentration of risk in too few insurers or state programs;
(4) the private sector=s role, including insurance, reinsurance and capital markets, should be maximized and such financing mechanisms fully exhausted before any government capacity is provided, state or federal;
(5) the government should encourage, and B where appropriate B fund pre-disaster hazard mitigation efforts; and
(6) any federal proposal should not put taxpayers= dollars at risk when the private sector is more than capable of financing the costs of a natural disaster.
These principles form the basis for the RAA=s evaluation of all disaster-related legislation, whether they be federal or state proposals. They are founded solely in the belief that the private sector is the appropriate bearer of catastrophic risk, but are tempered by the recognition that a natural event could occur, one greater than any which has occurred to date, which exceeds the resources of the U.S. insurance and global reinsurance industries.
CAPACITY TO FINANCE NATURAL DISASTERS
At the heart of the debate on H.R. 21 is what is the capacity of the insurance industry to finance natural disasters. It is critical in evaluating capacity of the industry that the Committee keep in mind that insurance capacity for natural disaster exposures is provided by insurers, reinsurers and the capital markets. The bulk of catastrophic risk is retained by primary insurers which provide coverage directly to the public. Such coverage represents the typical homeowners contract where an insurance company agrees to indemnify their customer, upon receipt of a premium, for a loss or damage to property. The primary insurance industry is in the business to pay claims and finance losses associated with a natural disaster. Reinsurers provide protection for insurers in the face of large catastrophe losses but our segment of the industry, by premium volume or surplus, is roughly one-tenth the size of the primary industry.
Although reinsurers assume the risk of a significant portion of most insurance companies= catastrophe losses, several of the largest national personal lines insurers, for example, purchase very little, if any, reinsurance, because their resources, as reflected in their capital and surplus, are large enough to retain risk and absorb shock losses. For instance, the six companies represented today on these two panels have a combined surplus of approximately $ 70 billion.3
A smaller or regional insurer, however, may rely more on reinsurance to spread its risk of loss. No insurer should, or wants to, expose its entire capital base to a threat of a single natural catastrophe or an accumulation of catastrophes. In addition, insurers have a responsibility to stockholders or, in the case of mutual insurers, policyholders, to see that their capital provides an adequate return on equity and is not exposed to a risk of ruin from natural catastrophes.
Thus, as this Committee deliberates this most important issue, it must not just look at the capacity of the reinsurance industry, but it must consider the capacity of the insurance industry as a whole to finance major catastrophes. In addition, the Committee must not ignore the ever growing capacity provided by the capital markets.
REINSURANCE CAPACITY ABOUNDS AND PRICES CONTINUE TO FALL
There is currently an abundance of catastrophe reinsurance available in the marketplace today. As Standard and Poor=s recently reported, there is currently an overabundance of reinsurance in the marketplace and the Aglut of capacity in the reinsurance marketplace will continue to hold back rate increases. Capital is very, very, strong in the reinsurance market.@
Unfortunately, during consideration of this measure last Congress, the Committee relied on a U.S. Re Corporation report as to what the reinsurance capacity is in the U.S. Again this year, the U.S. Re report is cited as evidence of the limited availability of reinsurance in any single region. That U.S. Re report concluded that there was $7 billion of reinsurance available per region. However, several considerations apply: (1) it is a 1995 report based on an analysis of the marketplace in 1994 just after the Northridge Earthquake (1994) and Hurricane Andrew (1992) and; (2) the report only took into account one form of reinsurance, Aexcess of loss4,@ and did not take into account the other forms of catastrophe reinsurance available for purchase (facultative, per risk excess of loss and proportional) which make up an additional 40 percent of capacity. U.S. Re has just released a new report reflecting the current marketplace for reinsurance. (See Attachment A). We urge the Committee to rely on this report as extensively as it did in its consideration of H.R. 219 last year. The July 1999, U.S. Re Report states that: (1) there is approximately $13-$15 billion of Aexcess of loss@ catastrophe reinsurance capacity in place per region, per event in the U.S.; (2) an additional 40 percent of capacity is in place from other forms of reinsurance being purchased (facultative, per risk of loss and proportional); and (3) that an additional $1 billion of capacity per region is also available from capital markets products. These factors would result in approximately $20 billion of catastrophe reinsurance capacity available per region, per event. This number does not include the capacity provided by the primary industry to finance catastrophes.
The RAA believes that this more recent and thorough data presents a much more accurate
picture of the reinsurance marketplace. We urge the Committee to consider the current U.S.
Re report as well as the following in its consideration of the level of which the federal
government should get into the business of reinsurance. We believe the abundance of
reinsurance in the marketplace warrants the raising of the trigger levels in H.R. 21.
It has also been suggested by witnesses before the Subcommittee on Housing and
Community Opportunity that insurance agents are unable to sell homeowners insurance
polices because For 1999, the
= Insurance Coverage reported
to Governor Pataki and the State Legislature that there is a current overabundance of
reinsurance capacity in the marketplace and that Alosses from a 250-year storm
striking New York would be in a range of $6 billion. This amount is easily within the
industry=s
current capacity to absorb.@
=s report
concludes that global catastrophe pricing remains under pressure as reinsurance
capacity exceeds demands in all regions.
The reinsurers also provided the CEA with a Ano claims bonus@ if 1999 or 2000 goes by claim free, just as 1997 and 1998 have. If the CEA treaty is loss free as of 12/21/99 or 12/31/00 reinsurers will return 12.5 percent of premiums collected in all three years (1997-1999). According to the then CEA Chief Executive Officer Greg Butler, Athe CEA was in a good position to negotiate, given the excellent loss experience (no claims), good operating performance, and excess capacity in the reinsurance markets. We asked a lot from the reinsurers, and a majority of them stepped up to the plate.@
There are record amounts of reinsurance capacity available today. Ironically, this is due in part to the unprecedented insurer losses associated with Hurricanes Andrew ($15.5 billion) and Inki ($1.6 billion) which prompted an assessment of conventional insurance and reinsurance risk. Insurers and reinsurers reviewed their insured exposures and risk management programs and decided to revise their business plans for the coming years. Since 1994, reinsurers, investment bankers, and financial market traders developed additional contingent capital, reinsurance, and derivative risk management products and added new capacity through newly capitalized companies. This has led to the over capacity in the marketplace.
It appears that the capacity will continue to grow in future years as well. In 1998
reinsurance broker Guy Carpenter made the following prognosis about the future of
reinsurance during the Louisiana Coastal Task Force hearings: (1) there
will be excess capacity, price reductions and continuity of market (the larger
catastrophes are more easily absorbed by reinsurers without market concentration); (2)
catastrophe reinsurance will continue to become more available and affordable; and (3)
more sophisticated customized products will be developed and there will be lower
transaction costs. The following contributing factors that cause this positive outlook on
future market conditions were cited:
PRIMARY MARKETPLACE ALSO WELL PREPARED TO FINANCE NATURAL DISASTERS
Historically primary insurers have paid 2/3 to 3/4 of catastrophe losses, passing the
remainder through to the reinsurance industry. The primary industry is also
well-positioned to finance natural disasters. As previously stated, it is very important
for this Committee to consider the capacity of the primary insurers (not just reinsurers)
in its consideration of the trigger levels in H.R. 21. Although H.R. 21 is a proposal to
create a federal reinsurance program, the primary industry plays just as critical of a
role in financing these natural disasters.
=s ability to finance major catastrophic losses, the insurance industry has
more than adequate capacity to pay at least 98.6 percent of a $20 billion loss. For a
catastrophe of $100 billion, the industry could pay at least 92.8 percent. The report
concludes that the gaps in catastrophic risk financing are presently not sufficient
to justify Federal government intervention in private insurance markets in the form of
catastrophe reinsurance.
CAPITAL MARKETS CONTINUE TO PROVIDE CAPACITY
Over the last few years, the capital markets have developed and implemented products to securitize insured catastrophe risk and provide additional capacity to insurers. (See Attachment C). The capital markets potential to provide capacity for natural disasters reaches into the trillions of dollars. Some of the nation=s most prominent investment banking and securities organizations have actively securitized insurance catastrophe risk, including the Chicago Board of Trade, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Guaranty Trust, J.P. Morgan Securities, Credit Suisse First Boston, AON Re Services, Sedgewick Financial, and Merrill Lynch. The market for capital markets funding of catastrophe natural exposures has grown from one transaction in 1994 totaling $85 million to eighteen transactions in 1998 totaling approximately $2.5 billion. While it is still in its infancy, a lot of resources are being directed by capital markets intermediaries to encourage development of the market and to complete a growing number of transactions. This development could revolutionize catastrophe insurance funding and greatly expand the capacity of the U.S. insurance market to deal with the financial risks attendant to mega catastrophes. The potential capacity from the capital markets should not be ignored or underestimated during the Committee=s consideration of H.R. 21. This is particularly important in light of the likely convergence of the financial services industries if financial modernization is enacted into law.
STATE SOLUTIONS TO THE CATASTROPHE EXPOSURE
The RAA believes that the state insurance departments play an important role in the issue of homeowners availability in disaster-prone areas. State insurance departments have been working with insurers to allow changes in policy coverages and premiums that bring premiums in line with the risk of catastrophes in their markets and give consumers options in line with their resources. Together, the overcapacity of the primary and reinsurance markets have done much to address consumer level concerns about the availability and affordability of catastrophe insurance and have provided additional security to insurers against the threat of financial impairment. Evidence of this is reflected in two recent state reports. In February 1999, the New York State Panel on Homeowners=s Insurance, chaired by the state superintendent of insurance, concluded that: the New York insurance market is resilient for the availability of homewoners= insurance in coastal communities, with few exceptions, has rebounded; and that the number of homewoners= insurance policies written by the New York Property Insurance Underwriting Association (a state-mandated market to ensure availability) has leveled off and the number of new policies is declining.
In Louisiana, after the Property Insurance Task Force issued its study, the Insurance Commissioner issued a letter to Congress noting that " . . . it is crucial that our homeowners are able to obtain affordable homeowners insurance to protect their property against a major catastrophe. In Louisiana, the private marketplace is doing just that, providing homeowners with affordable and adequate coverage to protect against such a catastrophe."
Recent developments in Florida also highlight the positive developments in the homeowners insurance markets. According to the state-run Joint Underwriting Association (JUA - insurer of last resort) in April of 1999 the number of polices dropped below the 200,000 mark. The policy count for the JUA peaked in the fall of 1996, when policies totaled nearly 937,000. The JUA issued a statement that Athe steady decline in the JUA policyholders is a sign that Florida=s property insurance market continues to grow healthier after collapsing in the wake of Hurricane Andrew in August of 1992. Insurance companies do want to write policies in Florida and believe they can. In May of 1999, three insurance companies submitted plans to the JUA that would nearly deplete the remainder of its policies. The same three companies made a proposal to slash the policy base of the Florida Windstorm Underwriting Association nearly in half. The Association insurers more than 493,000 homes in 29 coastal counties. According to a May 5, 1999 Sun-Sentinel report, "reinsurance is playing a big role in breaking the logjam of policies stuck in the pools. All three companies have pacts with large reinsurance companies."
Looking at the primary, reinsurance and capital markets, as well as state initiatives, the RAA believes that the private marketplace is more than equipped to handle losses above the levels provided for in H.R. 21.
MEGA-CATASTROPHE STILL THREATENS THE MARKETPLACE
Notwithstanding these positive developments, a fundamental problem facing insurers and their policyholders remains: the threat of a mega-catastrophe that exceeds the resources of the insurance and reinsurance markets. An insured catastrophe that, for example, exceeds 20 percent of the aggregate surplus of the industry could have a significant negative impact on the solvency of some companies and their ability to provide coverage. Currently, industry surplus stands at $332 billion. Twenty percent of industry surplus would be a $66 billion event. As previously cited, the Wharton school concluded that for a catastrophe of $100 billion, the industry could pay at least 92.8 percent of the claims, however, a significant number of insolvencies would occur, disrupting the normal functioning of the insurance market, not only for property insurance but also for other coverages.
The best approach to improve insurance affordability and availability and to prepare for the losses and devastating effects of a mega-catastrophe should include:
With these measures, private sector competition and capacity will continue to flourish, damage to homes and lives will diminish and, in case of a mega-catastrophe, the financial infrastructure of the industry would remain intact, thereby averting wide dislocations throughout the economy. This combination of state regulatory action and federal legislation will solve this problem.
EVALUATION OF PROPOSED FEDERAL APPROACHES
The RAA believes that H.R. 21 is a sound foundation for addressing a federal role in financing natural catastrophes. The RAA=s foremost concern in the legislation are the trigger at which the federal government would provide reinsurance. In H.R. 21, the federal government would provide reinsurance to state government-sponsored catastrophe funds once losses exceed 2 billion, a 1 in 100 year event or the claims paying capacity of the state cat fund, whichever is greater. The trigger levels for the regional contracts to be auctioned by Treasury are $2 billion or 1 in 100 year event, whichever is greater. The RAA believes that H.R. 21 would interfere with the private marketplace and encourage the creation of more state government programs. We are seeking to incorporate higher trigger levels for the federal reinsurance program to better reflect the private sector=s risk bearing capacity. As evidenced in the material above, the RAA believes these changes will help ensure that the private marketplace is not unnecessarily infringed upon and that the federal Treasury is not at risk by assuming too much of the cost of financing these disasters. We believe that low trigger levels tilt the field toward government solutions while higher trigger levels promote private solutions.
The RAA urges the Committee to consider trigger levels that preserve the solvency of the insurance industry but do not interfere with the private marketplace. Last year before this Committee, we suggested an approach which is not currently in H.R. 21, which would set the trigger level based on losses to the insurance industry or insurance company surplus. Senator Stevens= bill in the 104th Congress, S. 1043, provided for the federal reinsurance program protection to trigger for insured losses which exceed 15 percent of industry surplus or losses by an insurer of 20 percent of its own surplus. If the industry was in a decline and surpluses were down, the trigger would be a lower number. If the industry continues to be robust, the triggers automatically rise. Therefore, the trigger level would adequately reflect the capacity of the insurance industry in good times and in bad.
If the industry surplus trigger is not a viable one, the RAA proposes that at a minimum, the trigger levels for in H.R. 21, for both the state programs and the auctions of be raised to: the greater of $5 billion, 1 in 250 year event or the claims paying capacity of the state cat fund. The RAA understands the unique situation of Florida and is willing to work with the Committee on this issue, or address any other concerns particular Members may have. The RAA is also seeking to incorporate amendments that are more technical in nature that we believe will help increase the effectiveness and fiscal soundness of the new federal reinsurance program.
Additional Concerns about Low Triggers
CLOSING REMARKS
The RAA principles on natural disaster legislation are rooted in the belief that capitalistic incentives, operating within a flexible regulatory environment, provide ample motivation for the private sector to offer homewoners insurance in disaster-prone areas. However, they also recognize that the inherent nature of the risk associated with that coverage creates a high-capacity void that only the federal government can fill.
Those principles are further strengthened by a marketplace that has improved considerably over the last few years and is continuing to improve each passing day: insurance companies have surpluses that allow them to write more coverage; reinsurance capacity is abundant; the cost of reinsurance is at a 5-year low; and new forms of reinsurance and capital markets are enhancing the catastrophe risk management market.
Combine these dynamic developments with the guidance exhibited by Congressional leaders as yourselves, and I am optimistic that we are approaching a private/public partnership that will help ensure the availability of homeowners insurance to consumers in disaster-prone areas, while maximizing the resources of the private sector.
I urge you to thoroughly evaluate both the capacity of the primary marketplace, the reinsurance marketplace and the capital markets. I believe doing so will result in your support for higher trigger levels which will minimize the risk assumed by the federal Treasury and maximize the resources of the private insurance industry.
____________________
1. Often described as Ainsurance
for insurance companies,@ reinsurance is a
sophisticated transaction by which one insurer indemnifies, for a premium, another insurer
against all or part of a loss that it may sustain. The fundamental objective of insurance,
to spread risk of loss, is thereby enhanced by the insurer=s ability to spread that risk through reinsurance.
The key reasons a primary company purchases reinsurance are: (1) to limit liability on specific risk; (2) to stabilize loss experience; (3) to protect against large losses; and (4) to increase capacity so they can write more policies. The degree to which each insurer will utilize reinsurance for one or all of these purposes is determined by each insurer after assessing its own exposure to losses and its own capital resources.
2. A state run tax-exempt trust fund that provides reinsurance to insurance companies writing homeowners insurance in a particular state. 3. State Farm- $41.8 billion; Allstate- $13.4 billion; Farmers - $4.5 billion; Metropolitan - $95 million; Safeco $3.3 billion; Cincinnati - $3 billion. Best Week, March 29, 1999. 4. Excess of loss is one form of catastrophe reinsurance. Excess of loss provides a defined limit of coverage that indemnifies the company above a specified loss amount.